Book: Fooled by randomness



We are still very far removed from our ancestors roamed the Savannah. Our views are full of prejudices even today (I'd say especially today). Just as when a primitive man scratched his nose, saw that it was raining, and came up with an intricate method of rubbing his nose for "evoking the" long-awaited rain, we link economic prosperity with interest rates the Federal reserve Board or the success of the company with the advent of "at the helm" of a new President. Bookshelves the complete autobiographies of successful men and women setting out their own version reaching the top (there is the expression "at the right time and the right place" that weaken the effect of any of their statements). This confusion affects people of different views: the teacher of literature gives a deep meaning completely random manifestations of art style, while the economist proudly detects "regularities" and "anomalies" in the data, generated at random.
№ 342037   Added MegaMozg 05-09-2018 / 02:02