Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Black Swan (№ 342035)

I can find evidence of almost anything, as well as an experienced London taxi driver can even in the holiday to find the stopper in order to drive up the price.
Someone goes further, giving me examples of events that we have been able with some degree of success to predict - and in fact there is, for example a human landing on the moon or rapid growth of the economy in the XXI century. You can find plenty of "contratistas" the ideas in this book. The best of them would be that Newspapers perfectly predict theatrical performances and film screenings. See, yesterday I predicted that today the sun comes up, and it came! If I saw a man commits murder, I can hardly doubt that he is a criminal. But if I saw a man commits murder, I can't be sure of his innocence.