Red pill-2. The whole truth about success (№ 401715)

"Imagine a Turkey, says Taleb, which diligently fed every day and is convinced that the friendly attitude of the people."
Imagine, though: from the Turkey, everything was just wonderful - beautiful, well-fed, plump... you already Have the feeling that it smells like bacon?
"On the eve of thanksgiving, continues Taleb, - Turkey, there will be something unexpected, she realizes that was wrong."
Really, the most "successful" of them - the first to go to slaughter. Fried apples, she solemnly served to the table, and Taleb summarizes:
"The confidence of Turkey in the security reaches the maximum when the risk is the highest."
You know, and this is also true. True, which is objectively impossible to prove. But it is true that later will prove.