Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Black Swan (№ 258055)

Before the arrival of the era of high-tech theater of war was usually Srednestan. It's hard to kill a lot of people, if you have to destroy them one by one. Today, in the presence of means of mass destruction, enough buttons, a psycho, a small error to the planet depopulated.
How does this compare with the Black Swan? Keyneston able to produce (and raises) Black swans, as only a handful of events had a decisive impact on the story. This is the main idea of the book.